We got three games today to kick off the work week which means a trio of SGP’s for your liking. Remember that SGP’s are more a long-term investment. You won’t win every one and even if you’re winning half the time, you can probably retire soon. So think of it more like baseball where if you’re hitting at 30 percent, you’ll be in the Hall of Fame. As always, be sure to shop around for the best odds across markets. The difference between +400 and +450 may seem small but throughout an entire season, those small differences add up to big gains. That’s the best way to get ahead of the books, along with following injury news. Now, let’s get to it.
Last Time: 1-1 | Season: 2-5 (+4.2 U)
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Monday’s Best WNBA Same Game Parlay Picks
(Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook)
Indiana Fever at Atlanta Dream
- Leg 1: Fever 2Q ML (-105)
- Leg 2: Caitlin Clark 25+ Points (+150)
- Leg 3: Kelsey Mitchell Under 2.5 Threes (-120)
It may be an odd, uncorrelated parlay but hear me out because I have my reasons. The Indiana Fever winning the second quarter might be one of my favorite bets of the season. Since the teams returned from break, the Fever has been the single best team in the second quarter in terms of net rating. That’s better than New York, Connecticut, and all other teams in the W, by a fair margin too. Their offense has been absolutely electric in the second quarter while the Atlanta Dream has been the exact opposite with the second-worst-ranked efficiency metrics and a terrible offense. I’d highly advise betting that leg on its own. Otherwise, the other two legs incorporate a bit more risk. Let’s start with Caitlin Clark. The Iowa product has been dominant and a half since returning from break, scoring 23-plus points in all three games against much better defenses. Tallying 23 points on the road against Minnesota is making me foam at the mouth to snag 25-plus points for facing a middle-tier defense in Atlanta. Clark is known for her highlight reel deep shots but she is more than capable of scoring anywhere on the court as the Dream have limited three-point attempts throughout the month of August, which leads to Kelsey Mitchell. Opponents attempt the fewest number of threes against Atlanta over their last four games. She averages right around two a game already so I’m well on taking the Under on her deep ball makes here tonight.
Parlay Odds: +557
New York Liberty at Phoenix Mercury
- Leg 1: Under 163.5 Points (-108)
- Leg 2: Sabrina Ionescu 20+ Points (-102)
- Leg 3: Jonquel Jones 10+ Rebounds (-110)
This may be another weird one but I promise it checks out. I know I use the post All-Star splits heavily but to me, that is a lot more valuable than season-long stats and an easy way to find an edge in WNBA betting markets. A simple example is that since the break, no team has a better home defense than the Mercury and no team has a better road defense than the Liberty – hence the Under. This is a late game and long travel for New York so I don’t expect their offense to exactly be spectacular, with one exception. The Mercury allows the highest number of opponent three-point attempts in the league and that number is the second highest during the month of August. If you give Ionescu the opportunities, I trust they will fall and she takes over eight shots from deep a game so the opportunities will be plenty. Beyond that, I see the scoring struggle which is also why I expect a higher number of rebound opportunities. Jonquel Jones is Liberty’s best rebounder and the Liberty as a whole far outrank the Mercury in rebounding percentage. Phoenix has the second-worst opponent rebound percentage allowed just under 40 percent in August and the worst throughout the entire season. The number may be a bit high but with the expected missed shots, Jones will get there.
Parlay Odds: +474
Washington Mystics at Seattle Storm
- Leg 1: Over 160.5 Total Points (-112)
- Leg 2: Shakira Austin 8+ Rebounds (-116)
- Leg 3: Ariel Atkins 3+ Made Threes (+194)
Finally, in a lopsided matchup, we have an SGP that should be nothing but Overs, folks. Throughout August, no two teams have played faster basketball than the Washington Mystics and Seattle Storm. Defensively, both teams have been in the middle of the pack which adds up to a great way for the total to score over 160 points. For that to happen, someone has to go off and I’m putting my money on Ariel Atkins. In each of the last two games she has tallied three threes and in each of the last three games she has attempted nine, 10, and seven threes. With the high-paced atmosphere, and based on recent play, the opportunity will be plenty for her to sink a trio of threes and at plus odds, it’s an easy addition to this parlay. Shakira Austin is Washington’s best rebounder and she is recently coming off 11 boards against Los Angeles where before that she recorded nine against Seattle. The Storm have allowed the highest number of opponent boards in the last month so Austin should be able to easily get to eight if you wanna bump that number up at all.
Parlay Odds: +920
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